17 Comments
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Paul Goodhind's avatar

The Kazakhstan bond yield is 14%, so you can't use a 12% discount rate. I suggest 20% in which case the stock isn't cheap

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Cody's avatar

Good knowledge, thank you.

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Cody's stacks's avatar

Well appreciated.

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Moat Mind's avatar

Interesting find, note that the Turkey market is very competitive and Alibaba (Trendyol) is a big player there. Just a small note.

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Cody's avatar

That’s the kind of value added comments I love, very apropos of the Moat Mind 😊

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Jon's avatar

A little news relevant to Kaspi, https://astanatimes.com/2025/04/what-stands-behind-kazakhstans-open-banking-initiative/

I would suggest mildly negative in as much as the initiatives proposed / being implemented will allow other banks to catch up more easily. For example, I can use at least 2 other different banking apps to pay via Kaspi QR codes. There are surely other examples.

This then would mean, I don't necessarily need Kaspi to pay via Kaspi (which is most widely available here in Kazakhstan).

Food for thought. I hold Kaspi.

Regards,

Jon

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Cody's avatar

Thanks for the info. Kaspi gets a cut on the banking transaction, but then relies on the rest of their ecosystem to be actually attractive rather than already having people in.

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Jon's avatar

And in this respect (attractiveness), I personally think Kaspi wins hands down. It's far superior to other KZ banking apps I use. Though there are certainly better deposit rates available with other banks.

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Cody's stacks's avatar

Well appreciated.

Today I'm sharing with you a Life changing เɳѵεรƭɱεɳƭ for the love and support you've been showing me write to 📥

±𝟭(𝟱𝟴𝟱)𝟲𝟮𝟯-𝟬𝟭𝟯𝟯-WHATSAPP.

TeII him I sent u. it's very prof!tabIe

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Freedom Trades's avatar

Interesting!

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Cody's stacks's avatar

Well appreciated.

Today I'm sharing with you a Life changing เɳѵεรƭɱεɳƭ for the love and support you've been showing me write to 📥

±𝟭(𝟱𝟴𝟱)𝟲𝟮𝟯-𝟬𝟭𝟯𝟯-WHATSAPP.

TeII him I sent u. it's very prof!tabIe

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M. Strašek's avatar

good read. i am interested, how did you discovored Kaspi stock?

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Cody's avatar

I think @diyinvestor is the first person who wrote about it that I saw. Then I reached out to some missionaries I support in Kazakhstan and got a great report that they use both sides of the payments app and the marketplace everyday and love it, even saying they bought some stock in the company. Then I started to dig deeper and see why this was such a value proposition and this article is what I came up with.

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Cody's stacks's avatar

Well appreciated.

Today I'm sharing with you a Life changing เɳѵεรƭɱεɳƭ for the love and support you've been showing me write to 📥

±𝟭(𝟱𝟴𝟱)𝟲𝟮𝟯-𝟬𝟭𝟯𝟯-WHATSAPP.

TeII him I sent u. it's very prof!tabIe

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Jon's avatar

An interesting read, thank you.

I hold Kaspi and since I currently work in Kazakhstan, bank with them as well.

It's certainly true that most of the population uses their services. Everywhere you go, you can pay with Kaspi, but other banks are catching up, notably London listed Halyk, HSBK.L

That said, as first mover Kaspi seem to have a foothold that won't be lost. The bigger supermarkets, for example offer both Kaspi and Halyk QR payment options, but smaller traders having chosen Kaspi, stick with Kaspi.

The Culper short interest has certainly hurt the share price and risks remain, particularly if any investigation leads to a Nasdaq de-listing.

Currency risk is also high in my view.

Regards,

Jon

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Cody's avatar

I agree about Culper posing a risk, when the war in Ukraine is over, sanctions removal will be a part of that. Since Kaspi is not encroaching on a US companies territory, I don’t foresee the US going after them (assuming they may have crossed some obscure line, our President is the King of crossing obscure business lines.) 😂

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DIY Investor's avatar

Excellent write-up! Thank you. Kaspi seems like heads I win, tails I don't lose much setup.

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